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    Invelos Forums->General: General Discussion Page: 1 2  Previous   Next
Death of the DVD
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DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantBattling Butler
Registered: March 13, 2007
Posts: 811
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"The DVD isn’t dead yet, but it’s definitely looking a little peaked"

As Online Streaming Booms, DVDs Hello, Future - NYT, March 4, 2011

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/06/movies/homevideo/06dvds.html?_r=1&pagewanted=print
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantShinyDiscGuy
Registered: March 10, 2009
Posts: 2,248
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If streaming does manage to bring more films that where swept under the rug by many various physical format changes back into distribution. Then as a film fan i endorse this change. But the question is will ownership become irrelevant?

I don't personally see the elimination of ownership being a bad thing. It will eliminate piracy, and as long as they offer good deals for monthly superscriptions. That meet the expectations of hardcore film watchers.
 Last edited: by ShinyDiscGuy
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantStar ContributorLewis_Prothero
Strength Through Unity
Registered: May 19, 2007
Reputation: Superior Rating
Germany Posts: 6,730
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Just like with the CD.

But taking into consideration the much bigger amount of data it may stiil take some time until DVDs (and BluRays) get replaced by downloaded content.
The day that everyone has HighSpeed DSL access (100 MBit+) will be the end for physical media though.
It all seems so stupid, it makes me want to give up!
But why should I give up, when it all seems so stupid?


Registrant since 05/22/2003
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantShinyDiscGuy
Registered: March 10, 2009
Posts: 2,248
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Quoting Silence_of_Lambs:
Quote:
Just like with the CD.

But taking into consideration the much bigger amount of data it may stiil take some time until DVDs (and BluRays) get replaced by downloaded content.
The day that everyone has HighSpeed DSL access (100 MBit+) will be the end for physical media though.


I just seen flying pig out my window. My internet comes through a 1960's telephone system thanks to me living in an area, populated by a bunch of old tossers who swear by there BT contracts.

So in other words my internet sucks 
 Last edited: by ShinyDiscGuy
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantStar Contributorwhispering
On ne passe pas!
Registered: March 13, 2007
Finland Posts: 1,380
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Quoting Silence_of_Lambs:
Quote:
Just like with the CD.

But taking into consideration the much bigger amount of data it may stiil take some time until DVDs (and BluRays) get replaced by downloaded content.
The day that everyone has HighSpeed DSL access (100 MBit+) will be the end for physical media though.


Considering the current "downloaded content", i highly doubt so. So long as they believe they can give less for more money, not going to happen.
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantStar ContributorAce_of_Sevens
Registered: December 10, 2007
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Posts: 3,004
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Streaming is making basically zero gains as anything but a rental replacement. DVD is mostly declining because it's being replaced by Blu-ray (and also because there'as no more A-list catalog to release). The total physical disc market is declining, but only barely and that's largely attrributable to the declining sales to rental outlets.
 Last edited: by Ace_of_Sevens
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantBlair
Resistance is Futile!
Registered: October 30, 2008
United States Posts: 1,249
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The movie "collector" and less-active onliner will continue to buy hard copies (whether it's DVD, Blu-ray, Uber-Ultra-High-Def, or whatever).

I can download a collection of eveyr baseball card ever made, but it's not the same as being able to hold them in your hand.
If at first you don't succeed, skydiving isn't for you.

He who MUST get the last word in on a pointless, endless argument doesn't win. It makes him the bigger jerk.
 Last edited: by Blair
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantVibroCount
The Truth is Silly Putty
Registered: March 13, 2007
Reputation: High Rating
United States Posts: 5,635
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People get very upset when something they have is removed from their lives. At best, we tolerate change. If what we have changes into something better, then we tolerate the change more and object less. I was born when there were only two TV stations serving my hometown, both from San Francisco. My grandfather assisted two brothers get loans and permits to build a combination auto service station and Philco dealership, so we bought our gasoline from them and they got him a TV at dealer cost, so I remember the third network station starting up.

If we wanted films, only schools had 16mm sound projectors. We had an 8mm camera and projector and a couple of silent shorts on 8mm (Keystone Kops, etc.) and some soundless cartoons (Woody Woodpecker, Andy Panda, etc.) I was a father of two before home video equipment was affordable. So we then got to time shift, archive TV shows and movies from TV, and spend $60 each for video cassettes of a few films. I agreed to buy a new TV with my first VHS unit (I had a 3/4" UMatic I bought used from my college before that) but only if the dealer gave me a new (unrented) VHS tape of Citizen Kane.

DVDs offered higher quality, but until expensive DVD recorders arrived, eliminated time shifting. Hard drives are better still, but still (like DVRs) require mechanical moving parts, so mechanical wear will force replacement or repair to maintain usefulness.

What I wish for is twofold: instantanious downloads of every film and TV show I want whenever I want it, and flash memory storage (and distribution) of everything I want to keep. In the highest quality possible... and without a limited lifespan because of crippling DRM. When I buy it, I want it forever, and transferable to any TV or computer.

What the industry wants is for me to pay for new rights every time I want to watch something and to add advertisements that I must watch. We are at odds with each other.
If it wasn't for bad taste, I wouldn't have no taste at all.

Cliff
 Last edited: by VibroCount
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantStar ContributorLJG
Registered: March 14, 2007
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Quoting VibroCount:
Quote:
... and without a limited lifespan because of crippling DRM. When I buy it, I want it forever, and transferable to any TV or computer.

What the industry wants is for me to pay for new rights every time I want to watch something and to add advertisements that I must watch. We are at odds with each other.


This is almost exactly how I feel. Right now, it is way too easy to lose electronic media. Your hard drive crashes? It's gone. The company loses the rights to the movie? It's gone. You accidentally delete it? It's gone.

I want something I can hold in my hand, be able to lend if need be (blasphemy I know! and I'm honestly thinking more about books which are going electronic right now as well)...Plus, the storage space is way too expensive for me to even contemplate right now to be able to store my movies on a hard drive. I have about a 1000 dvds, give or a take a few. I have almost 2000 books. I couldn't imagine how much space that would take. Add in my CDs, which I already have a lot of on the computer...

And, like Cliff, I don't want to watch ads when I want to watch something and I can imagine how easy it would be for the companies to push them in. I'm already getting ads on DVDs that are a pain to fast forward through, I don't want to know what else they'll come up with with the versatility of having media online.

Give me a hard copy any day. The death of DVD may happen, but I think it'll be a long time coming.
Lori
DVD Profiler Desktop and Mobile RegistrantStar ContributorStaid S Barr
Registered: Oct 16, 2003
Registered: May 9, 2007
Netherlands Posts: 1,536
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I note that in particular current television series are often provided online, for example also by Amazon. Since the publishers already have a tendency to bring out only a few seasons on DVD, if the sales are expected to be good enough, they must be reducing the potential market, and bring out even fewer seasons in the future.
And apart from wanting to own a hard copy, those online sales (Amazon, iTunes) are not even accessible for customers that are not located in the US. So we are not talking about a replacement, but about taking away.
Hans
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantVibroCount
The Truth is Silly Putty
Registered: March 13, 2007
Reputation: High Rating
United States Posts: 5,635
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Quoting LJG:
Quote:
This is almost exactly how I feel. Right now, it is way too easy to lose electronic media. Your hard drive crashes? It's gone. The company loses the rights to the movie? It's gone. You accidentally delete it? It's gone.


I put a dozen or more digital copies of films and the entire 12th season of South Park on a portable hard drive for my laptop... Up, The Wizard of Oz, Juno, Monsters Inc., etc... When my family travelled, we could watch a nice film in higher quality than a motel TV set. Then the power supply died on the laptop and the warranty replaced the computer. I cannot play the digital downloads I paid for on any computer and the companies will not issue a new code so I can copy them again or unlock those that I copied onto the hard drive.
If it wasn't for bad taste, I wouldn't have no taste at all.

Cliff
DVD Profiler Desktop and Mobile RegistrantStar Contributormreeder50
I was outta bullets
Registered: March 29, 2007
Reputation: Superior Rating
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I thought digital copy was pretty cool when it first came out because it afforded me an opportunity to reaudit a profile, for the most part, without having to put the physical disc into my computer. I could also check other contributions in the same way. Then I updated my system to Win7 RC1 and added another hard drive. Guess what, my digital copies were no longer usable and of course you can't get them reactivated. So needless to say, any money I spent on buying a Blu-ray with digital copy was completely wasted. I have to stop now, so I don't go off like a bottle rocket and embarrass myself.

One final note about digital vs. physical. Most people cannot afford the kind of system it requires to house all that digital media with redundancy and offsite backup storage to ensure minimal impact in the event of a disaster. By disaster, I mean something as small as loosing a $100-$150 2TB drive holding all that data. Cheap to replace the drive, but the lose of time and data make it not fun anymore.

Off the soapbox now.
Marty - Registered July 10, 2004, User since 2002.
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantAstrakan
Registered: Feb 12, 2000
Registered: March 28, 2007
Reputation: High Rating
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I used to be hardcore into ownership (as I imagine most on this forum are/have been... ) but lately I'm finding the subscription model more and more appealing.

The primary reason for me ever having wanted to collect DVDs was that I wanted to have as many titles at my disposal as possible, so if the mood strikes to watch the forgotten 2001 Tim Robbins movie Antitrust I could, without having to leave my house and without trusting that Blockbusters would have it.

But that was over a decade ago. It's not long now before I'll have virtually any title I could want accessible to me with a few button presses.

Netflix streaming recently came to Canada, and it's simply glorious to be able to watch thousands of movies and TV shows whenever I want. When Netflix launched here they were criticized for their selection, but even on the first day they had more titles than my not insignificant personal collection.

And yeah, I know it's more than a numbers game. Lots of the movies I have are not yet available on Netflix, but when we get to the point where they all are, and where they either get titles on DVD release day or within a month or two... I'm pretty much stopping my collecting.

Once that day hits, the only titles I can see myself buying are those where I crave the boost in picture and audio quality that Blu-ray offers, as well as those where I love the movie so much I just have to have all the extras.

Hell, I'd argue that I really ought to be at that point right now. Between what I own, Netflix and my Zip.ca (mail rental) membership, I have enough to keep me busy until Netflix catches up to my desires. But, you know, addiction...
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DVD Profiler Desktop and Mobile RegistrantDr. Killpatient
Here's my card
Registered: May 19, 2007
Reputation: Highest Rating
United States Posts: 5,918
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Quoting LJG:
Quote:
I have about a 1000 dvds, give or a take a few. I have almost 2000 books. I couldn't imagine how much space that would take. Add in my CDs

NewEgg has 2 TB drives for $80.
Will also need a decent RAID controller and an
external drive enclosure.

Utilizing RAID5, you can get 6 TB of data storage with 4 drives. Assuming an average of 6 GB for a DVD, that should hold your entire DVD collection.  You could reduce that even more if you take efforts to just store the movie itself and none of the extras.

I have 8 1.5 TB drives ($69 via sale) and that RAID controller arriving tomorrow and I plan to put it in my existing 8 bay external drive enclosure and creating two RAID 5 arrays for a total of 9 TB of storage.
DVD Profiler Desktop and Mobile RegistrantStar ContributorBad Father
Registered: July 23, 2001
Registered: March 13, 2007
Posts: 4,596
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Quoting Dr. Killpatient:
Quote:
Quoting LJG:
Quote:
I have about a 1000 dvds, give or a take a few. I have almost 2000 books. I couldn't imagine how much space that would take. Add in my CDs

NewEgg has 2 TB drives for $80.
Will also need a decent RAID controller and an
external drive enclosure.

Utilizing RAID5, you can get 6 TB of data storage with 4 drives. Assuming an average of 6 GB for a DVD, that should hold your entire DVD collection.  You could reduce that even more if you take efforts to just store the movie itself and none of the extras.

I have 8 1.5 TB drives ($69 via sale) and that RAID controller arriving tomorrow and I plan to put it in my existing 8 bay external drive enclosure and creating two RAID 5 arrays for a total of 9 TB of storage.


I was contemplating doing the same thing until I averaged the time it would take to rip every DVD/Blu-ray disc in my collection. At approx. 45 minutes per disc it would take 211,500 minutes/3,525 hours/147 days. That’s without taking a break   If I ripped for 4 hours a night after work it would take 881 days to finish the 4,768 discs in my collection. That’s 2 ½ years .
My WebGenDVD online Collection
 Last edited: by Bad Father
DVD Profiler Unlimited RegistrantStar ContributorLJG
Registered: March 14, 2007
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United States Posts: 950
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Wow, I guess space has really been reduced in price. The last time I looked at prices for drives, they were a lot more expensive. But to be honest, at this point, they're still out of my price range.

I still wonder what happens when those drives fail? You do lose the time you've spent adding your media on to it. A lot of stuff I have has never been offered online so I'd have to manually put it on. You might be saving space but are you really when you still have to keep the discs in case of failure? You still have to store them somewhere!

Someone mentioned Netflixs. I know that on their instant streaming they often lose rights to films/tv shows. Say you want to watch a particular movie, put it in your wait list and the next time you have time to watch it, it's gone because they've lost the rights. I admit I don't have this service, but I do know that happens fairly often.  If I buy a dvd, the company may lose the rights to it, but I at least have the dvd and can still watch it at anytime.

I have several digital copies I can't use because the code expired. When they first came out, I didn't have a device that I'd want to play it on and now that I do have an iPod that I could, most of them don't work anymore. Seems silly to even have included them on a disc in the first place if the company wasn't willing to allow the buyer to actually use it if they couldn't use it right then. Obviously they want the person to re-buy it...and re-buy it...and re-buy it.

To be honest, I do see positives for digital media. If people travel, it's great to have something portable you can take with you to entertain yourself be it movies or books or music. In the car with your kids? It's a lot easier bringing one thing than several little discs to choose from. But overall, I'm in the hard copy camp. I still see too many problems with digital only.
Lori
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